Xian Ronghai 2-3 Guangxi Lanhang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Lanhang EU Bookmakers 30%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.22/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.46
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +95%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
8.0 Crosses 8.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xian Ronghai
2-3
AWAY Guangxi Lanhang
0.94 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
153 Passes 222
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xian Ronghai vs Guangxi Lanhang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Lanhang nicked a narrow win over Xian Ronghai 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Lanhang found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xian Ronghai had 46% of the ball to Guangxi Lanhang's 54%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.94 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Xian Ronghai vs Guangxi Lanhang?

Xian Ronghai 2-3 Guangxi Lanhang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xian Ronghai vs Guangxi Lanhang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xian Ronghai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xian Ronghai 39%, draw 35%, Guangxi Lanhang 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xian Ronghai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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