AFC Fylde 3-4 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.52
1/2 EV+ ✓
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
16%
5.36
X/2
9%
5.63
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.76
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.73/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.42
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
21.12.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-2 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
14.09.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
3-4
AWAY Yeovil
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past AFC Fylde 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Yeovil found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 41% of the ball to Yeovil's 59%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Fylde and 2.50 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Yeovil?

AFC Fylde 3-4 Yeovil in the England - National League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 38%, draw 24%, Yeovil 37%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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