Oldham Athletic 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.43
X/2
7%
6.37
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
19%
4.87
2/X
10%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.57/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.90
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
289 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southend United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
294 Passes 305
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 4-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
18.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
20.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
06.03.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
27.10.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Southend United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.17 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Southend United?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 39%, draw 29%, Southend United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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