Oldham Athletic 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Mar 2024

Oldham Athletic
1-1 HT 0-0
Southend United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Oldham Athletic vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.03
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
16%
5.2
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.71
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oldham Athletic v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.91/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.09
+39% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Oldham Athletic vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 305
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 4-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
18.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
20.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
06.03.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
27.10.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
24.04.2018 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İN1

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY Southend United
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Southend United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 39% of the ball to Southend United's 61%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.50 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Southend United?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 34%, draw 29%, Southend United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
2 Mar 2024
15:30 Dorking Wanderers vs Chesterfield Analysis →
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Bromley vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 York City vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Boreham Wood vs Gateshead Analysis →