York City vs Wealdstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Wealdstone — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Wealdstone Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
York City
İBSL
3-1
HT 1-0
York City
İBSL
1-2
HT 1-0
Wealdstone
İBSL
York City 2-3 Wealdstone — Actual Match Statistics
Wealdstone nicked a narrow win over York City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was York City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York City had 61% of the ball to Wealdstone's 39%, shots finished 12-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York City and 2.33 for Wealdstone.
What was the final score of York City vs Wealdstone?
York City 2-3 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Wealdstone?
Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split York City 41%, draw 29%, Wealdstone 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.