Boreham Wood 1-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.56
X/2
11%
5.63
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.66
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.21
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 2-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
25.04.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
17.09.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
26.01.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
14.08.2018 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
17.02.2018 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-1
AWAY Gateshead
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood and Gateshead couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 33% of the ball to Gateshead's 67%, shots finished 3-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boreham Wood and 1.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Gateshead?

Boreham Wood 1-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 39%, draw 27%, Gateshead 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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