Dorking Wanderers vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dorking Wanderers v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Dorking Wanderers vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-1
Dorking Wanderers
İBSL
3-1
HT 1-0
Dorking Wanderers
İBSL
2-2
HT 0-2
Chesterfield
İBSL
Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Dorking Wanderers swept aside Chesterfield 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Chesterfield carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 34% of the ball to Chesterfield's 66%, shots finished 14-14.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 3.00 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Chesterfield?
Dorking Wanderers 4-1 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 20%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 55%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.