Gateshead 2-0 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Sep 2024

Gateshead
2-0 HT 1-0
Barnet
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Gateshead vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.82
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.48
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.18
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
12%
3.31
2/X
9%
12.05
Value flag · X/1 at 6.18 — our 19% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+10.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.19/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.49
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gateshead vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Barnet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
18.11.2023 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-3 HT 3-1 Barnet Barnet FAK
07.01.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
13.08.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.03.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead beat Barnet 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Barnet?

Gateshead 2-0 Barnet in the England - National League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 47%, draw 23%, Barnet 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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