Gateshead 2-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.22
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.99
1/2
6%
22.15
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.62
X/2
18%
5.29
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
2.92
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.26/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.54
-9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Barnet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-3 HT 3-1 Barnet Barnet FAK
07.01.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
13.08.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.03.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
24.11.2018 Barnet Barnet 1-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-1
AWAY Barnet
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead nicked a narrow win over Barnet 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Gateshead made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 49% of the ball to Barnet's 51%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Barnet?

Gateshead 2-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 38%, draw 25%, Barnet 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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