Hartlepool United 2-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.57
X/2
12%
6.94
X/X
12%
4.89
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
10%
4.96
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -22%
1.44/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.70
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY York City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
17.07.2019 York City York City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United HAZ
16.04.2016 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İN2
15.08.2015 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
11.04.2015 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
22.11.2014 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-3 HT 1-0 York City York City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-1
AWAY York City
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United edged past York City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 57% of the ball to York City's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.50 for York City.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs York City?

Hartlepool United 2-1 York City in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 28%, York City 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
27 Jan 2024
18:00 Oldham Athletic vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Aldershot Town vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 AFC Fylde vs Bromley Analysis →