Oldham Athletic 0-1 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.42
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.0
X/2
8%
8.19
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.54
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.50
+5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Woking
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
07.03.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
13.09.2022 Woking Woking 3-0 HT 2-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
0-1
AWAY Woking
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking squeezed past Oldham Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 46% of the ball to Woking's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.00 for Woking.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Woking?

Oldham Athletic 0-1 Woking in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 46%, draw 27%, Woking 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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