Aldershot Town 3-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.19
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.98
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
11%
12.5
X/1
8%
5.09
X/2
7%
6.56
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
9%
23.45
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
16.12.2014 Rochdale Rochdale 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town FAK
07.12.2014 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale FAK
29.03.2013 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İN2
15.12.2012 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
20.09.2011 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
3-1
AWAY Rochdale
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town beat Rochdale 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Aldershot Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 53% of the ball to Rochdale's 47%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.67 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Rochdale?

Aldershot Town 3-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 40%, draw 30%, Rochdale 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
27 Jan 2024
18:00 Oldham Athletic vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Hartlepool United vs York City Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 AFC Fylde vs Bromley Analysis →