Maidenhead United 2-1 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.68
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
8%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.53
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.88
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.14/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.30
-18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Solihull Moors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-2 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.04.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.10.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
02.04.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-1 HT 2-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
11.12.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-4 HT 0-3 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
06.03.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-1
AWAY Solihull Moors
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United squeezed past Solihull Moors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Maidenhead United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 54% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 46%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.00 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Solihull Moors?

Maidenhead United 2-1 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 39%, draw 29%, Solihull Moors 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5
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