Dorking Wanderers 1-2 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +11%
2.27/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.71
+23% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Weymouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
25.07.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 3-2 HT 2-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
25.01.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 2-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
07.12.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth nicked a narrow win over Dorking Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weymouth led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.67 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Weymouth?

Dorking Wanderers 1-2 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 50%, draw 25%, Weymouth 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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