Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slough Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.42/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slough Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.04.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
08.10.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
18.04.2022 Slough Town Slough Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.12.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Slough Town Slough Town İCON
06.10.2020 Slough Town Slough Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
POST-MATCH Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town edged past Slough Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Hemel Hempstead Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slough Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slough Town and 0.83 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Slough Town 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slough Town 36%, draw 27%, Hemel Hempstead Town 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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