Peterhead 1-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/3.37
-94% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
02.03.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
09.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 3-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
23.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
16.07.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
09.04.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
26.02.2022 Peterhead Peterhead 4-3 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterhead
1-0
AWAY Dumbarton
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Peterhead vs Dumbarton
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Peterhead edged past Dumbarton 1-0 in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 7 Sep 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Peterhead had 55% of the ball to Dumbarton's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peterhead and 1.33 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Dumbarton?

Peterhead 1-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 38%, draw 23%, Dumbarton 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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