Charlton Athletic 1-1 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.0
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.16
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.4
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 66%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.0 Crosses 23.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rotherham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
237 Passes 232
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
02.11.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
02.04.2018 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
26.08.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
30.01.2016 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-4 HT 1-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
12.09.2015 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-1
AWAY Rotherham United
0.92 xG 0.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
292 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic and Rotherham United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 54% of the ball to Rotherham United's 46%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.92 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charlton Athletic and 0.67 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Rotherham United?

Charlton Athletic 1-1 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 39%, draw 26%, Rotherham United 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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