Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

Wrexham
3-0 HT 2-0
Shrewsbury
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wrexham vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.0
X/1
18%
3.65
X/2
5%
13.4
X/X
8%
6.8
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
12%
10.1
2/X
7%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 18%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.35/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.47
-32% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
– Crosses 14.7
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Wrexham vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.57 xG 1.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
339 Passes 155
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
17 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
13.04.2008 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
04.11.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
24.04.2007 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
25.02.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 1-3 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
09.04.2006 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2

Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.78 xG 0.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
345 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham cruised past Shrewsbury 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wrexham had 56% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wrexham and 1.50 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Shrewsbury?

Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 54%, draw 23%, Shrewsbury 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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