Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.01
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
15%
3.99
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
14%
6.13
2/1
8%
20.65
2/2
12%
7.45
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-14.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.74/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.50
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.8 Crosses 14.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 276
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
12.08.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
04.03.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
16.08.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
04.05.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
27.10.2018 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
2-1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.68 xG 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
322 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley edged past Bristol Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Barnsley had 56% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 44%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.68 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnsley and 0.67 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers?

Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 43%, draw 28%, Bristol Rovers 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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