Chertsey Town 3-3 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.15
Over Pick
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.75
-39% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
3-3
AWAY Winchester City
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town and Winchester City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chertsey Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 61% of the ball to Winchester City's 39%, shots finished 18-16.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Winchester City?

Chertsey Town 3-3 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 41%, draw 30%, Winchester City 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chertsey Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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