Harborough Town 1-3 Redditch United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No Pick
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.6pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Redditch United EU Bookmakers 40%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +30%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.09
+28% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Redditch United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Redditch United got the better of Harborough Town 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Redditch United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Redditch United?

Harborough Town 1-3 Redditch United in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Redditch United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 39%, draw 25%, Redditch United 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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