Hitchin Town 0-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
18%
3.64
Away Pick
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Alvechurch win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.5pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 53%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.35/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.69
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
20.01.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 0-1 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-3 HT 0-1 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-0 HT 0-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch squeezed past Hitchin Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hitchin Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hitchin Town and 0.83 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch?

Hitchin Town 0-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 29%, draw 18%, Alvechurch 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ BTTS No
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