Lowestoft Town 1-2 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.21
Over
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.42/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.04
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lowestoft Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
19.12.2015 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İCON
POST-MATCH Lowestoft Town vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United edged past Lowestoft Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Lowestoft Town vs AFC Telford United?

Lowestoft Town 1-2 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lowestoft Town vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lowestoft Town 33%, draw 26%, AFC Telford United 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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