Buchbach 1-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.49/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.99
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.03.2024 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
27.02.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-3 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-1 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach and Wacker Burghausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wacker Burghausen at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wacker Burghausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Buchbach and 1.50 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?

Buchbach 1-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wacker Burghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 26%, draw 25%, Wacker Burghausen 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wacker Burghausen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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