Greuther Fürth II 0-3 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.50/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.72
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Illertissen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 4-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 3-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
26.02.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-2 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.83 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?

Greuther Fürth II 0-3 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 30%, draw 28%, Illertissen 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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