Jeddeloh 3-2 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeddeloh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.90
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 520 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeddeloh
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Lübeck
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.05.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh ALMBÖL
13.11.2022 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh 2-2 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.11.2019 Jeddeloh Jeddeloh 3-3 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Jeddeloh vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeddeloh edged past Lübeck 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lübeck at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jeddeloh and 2.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Jeddeloh vs Lübeck?

Jeddeloh 3-2 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeddeloh vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jeddeloh 35%, draw 23%, Lübeck 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lübeck), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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