Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.3pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.32/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.75
-4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
27.10.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
20.03.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
21.10.2020 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
21.02.2020 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
1-4
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen swept aside Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Sportfreunde Lotte had 57% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Oberhausen's 43%, shots finished 17-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 25%, draw 34%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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