Gungahlin 1-1 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.21
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
34%
2.55
6+ Goals
8%
5.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
36%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.29/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.49
-21% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Canberra FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
02.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
14.04.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
16.09.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-2 HT 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
27.08.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-5 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
02.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin and Canberra FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gungahlin and 3.00 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs Canberra FC?

Gungahlin 1-1 Canberra FC in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 24%, draw 29%, Canberra FC 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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