Canberra FC 2-3 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.96
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.9pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+21.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-21.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 37%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.69
-83% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gungahlin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
14.04.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
16.09.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-2 HT 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
27.08.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-5 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
02.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
14.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin squeezed past Canberra FC 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gungahlin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Canberra FC and 2.17 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Canberra FC 2-3 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 33%, draw 34%, Gungahlin 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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