Blacktown City Demons 3-0 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.28/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.07
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.3 Crosses 12.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blacktown City Demons
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
2.80 xG 2.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-0 HT 3-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
28.05.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 0-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
10.02.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-3 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
09.10.2020 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 5-2 HT 4-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Blacktown City Demons vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons ran out comfortable winners over Western Sydney W. II 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blacktown City Demons as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Blacktown City Demons and 1.75 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Blacktown City Demons vs Western Sydney W. II?

Blacktown City Demons 3-0 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blacktown City Demons vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Blacktown City Demons 60%, draw 20%, Western Sydney W. II 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blacktown City Demons), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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