Western Sydney W. II 3-0 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.5pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.94/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.93
+20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 25.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.26 xG 2.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
356 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.05.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 0-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
10.02.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-3 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
09.10.2020 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 5-2 HT 4-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II swept aside Blacktown City Demons 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blacktown City Demons at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 2.67 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs Blacktown City Demons?

Western Sydney W. II 3-0 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 29%, draw 30%, Blacktown City Demons 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Blacktown City Demons), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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