Gungahlin 3-2 Canberra Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.1pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.42/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.81
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Canberra Olympic
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 1-3 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
11.06.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 0-5 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
23.04.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 3-2 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
11.09.2022 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
24.07.2022 Gungahlin Gungahlin 4-3 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
21.05.2022 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs Canberra Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin nicked a narrow win over Canberra Olympic 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gungahlin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gungahlin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gungahlin and 1.50 for Canberra Olympic.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs Canberra Olympic?

Gungahlin 3-2 Canberra Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs Canberra Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 46%, draw 25%, Canberra Olympic 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gungahlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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