Sydney Olympic 2-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.68/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.71
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.4 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney Olympic
1W-1D-0L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.31 xG 0.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
235 Passes 402
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
25.03.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 2-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney Olympic vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney Olympic nicked a narrow win over NWS Spirit 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney Olympic as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sydney Olympic had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sydney Olympic and 0.00 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Sydney Olympic vs NWS Spirit?

Sydney Olympic 2-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney Olympic vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sydney Olympic 55%, draw 22%, NWS Spirit 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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