Sydney United 3-2 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.33
Over 2.5
42%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.5
No
59%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
39%
+19.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
61%
-19.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
62%
-21.7pp
59%
BTTS No
38%
+21.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 51%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.08/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.22
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
343 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-1 HT 2-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
05.02.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-1 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
10.07.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
23.04.2022 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 4-2 HT 1-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
13.06.2021 Sydney United Sydney United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
28.03.2021 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United nicked a narrow win over Marconi Stallions 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sydney United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marconi Stallions led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sydney United and 1.67 for Marconi Stallions.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Marconi Stallions?

Sydney United 3-2 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 35%, draw 24%, Marconi Stallions 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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