Wollongong Wolves 3-2 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.3pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.85/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.97
-2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 10.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sydney II
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.43 xG 2.24
52% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
322 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 6-2 HT 5-1 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
07.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 2-1 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
05.06.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 3-3 HT 1-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
18.03.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 0-2 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
02.05.2021 Sydney II Sydney II 3-5 HT 1-3 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
04.10.2020 Sydney II Sydney II 3-4 HT 0-3 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves squeezed past Sydney II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wollongong Wolves as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 2.50 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney II?

Wollongong Wolves 3-2 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 57%, draw 20%, Sydney II 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wollongong Wolves), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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