St. Albans Saints 1-0 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 36%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.61/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
+51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.31 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
164 Passes 335
59% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-3 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.02.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 4-4 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
01.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
11.07.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints nicked a narrow win over Dandenong Thunder 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Albans Saints as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.50 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder?

St. Albans Saints 1-0 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 43%, draw 21%, Dandenong Thunder 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans Saints) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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