Central Coast II 0-3 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 61%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.30/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.99
+42% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +86%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 20.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY St George City FA
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 2.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
23.07.2023 Central Coast II Central Coast II 0-2 HT 0-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
08.04.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Central Coast II vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA ran out comfortable winners over Central Coast II 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St George City FA led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Central Coast II and 1.67 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Central Coast II vs St George City FA?

Central Coast II 0-3 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast II vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Central Coast II 31%, draw 23%, St George City FA 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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