Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
+31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
2W-0D-4L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.96 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 326
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 2-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
12.02.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-0 HT 3-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
04.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
20.03.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
20.06.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden edged past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rockdale Ilinden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.33 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 39%, draw 27%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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