APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.59/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.59
-12% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 315
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
12.02.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-0 HT 3-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
04.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
20.03.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
20.06.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
04.04.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Rockdale Ilinden 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day APIA Leichhardt Tigers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 33%, draw 29%, Rockdale Ilinden 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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