Peru 1-1 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2024

Peru
1-1 HT 0-0
Kolombiya
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Peru vs Kolombiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.38
Over 2.5
30%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
47%
1.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.87
4-5 Goals
12%
7.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.93 — our 47% vs market 44.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
9.0
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.45
X/1
5%
9.35
X/2
7%
3.69
X/X
16%
3.33
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.5
2/X
5%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.5pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.1pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peru v Kolombiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.51/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.65
-12% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.9 Crosses 10.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Peru vs Kolombiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kolombiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2022 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
10.07.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-2 HT 0-1 Peru Peru AKU
21.06.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-2 HT 0-1 Peru Peru AKU
04.06.2021 Peru Peru 0-3 HT 0-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
16.11.2019 Peru Peru 0-1 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
16.11.2019 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru HAZTUR

Peru 1-1 Kolombiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
1-1
AWAY Kolombiya
1.09 xG 1.68
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
151 Passes 450
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peru vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peru and Kolombiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kolombiya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Peru had 31% of the ball to Kolombiya's 69%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.09 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Peru and 1.50 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Peru vs Kolombiya?

Peru 1-1 Kolombiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peru 25%, draw 27%, Kolombiya 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolombiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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