Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2024

Uruguay
0-0 HT 0-0
Paraguay
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Uruguay vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
24%
3.49
X/2
6%
11.3
X/X
16%
4.48
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
6%
10.35
2/X
5%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.96/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.16
+26% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +49%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
15.8 Crosses 10.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Uruguay vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Paraguay
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.46 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2022 Paraguay Paraguay 0-1 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
29.06.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
04.06.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
06.09.2017 Paraguay Paraguay 1-2 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
07.09.2016 Uruguay Uruguay 4-0 HT 3-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
20.06.2015 Uruguay Uruguay 1-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU

Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
0-0
AWAY Paraguay
0.63 xG 0.90
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
375 Passes 169
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay and Paraguay fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Uruguay carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uruguay had 65% of the ball to Paraguay's 35%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.63 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uruguay and 0.33 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Paraguay?

Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 56%, draw 27%, Paraguay 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
7 Sep 2024
04:00 Brezilya vs Ekvador Analysis →
04:30 Peru vs Kolombiya Analysis →