Jarun 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.84/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.41
-43% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
3-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun got the better of Dubrava Zagreb 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Jarun found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 58% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 42%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jarun and 0.50 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Jarun 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jarun 37%, draw 34%, Dubrava Zagreb 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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