Guarda vs Estarreja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guarda v Estarreja — Team-Based Signals
Guarda 5-4 Estarreja — Actual Match Statistics
Guarda nicked a narrow win over Estarreja 5-4. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guarda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Guarda had 56% of the ball to Estarreja's 44%, shots finished 27-12.
What was the final score of Guarda vs Estarreja?
Guarda 5-4 Estarreja in the Portugal - Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guarda vs Estarreja?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guarda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Guarda 58%, draw 18%, Estarreja 24%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guarda), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.