Machico 3-0 Macedo Cavaleiros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 7 Sep 2024

Machico
3-0 HT 2-0
Macedo Cavaleiros
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Machico vs Macedo Cavaleiros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Machico v Macedo Cavaleiros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machico EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Macedo Cavaleiros EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Machico vs Macedo Cavaleiros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machico ran out comfortable winners over Macedo Cavaleiros 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machico as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Machico vs Macedo Cavaleiros?

Machico 3-0 Macedo Cavaleiros in the Portugal - Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machico vs Macedo Cavaleiros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machico win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Machico 45%, draw 24%, Macedo Cavaleiros 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machico), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machico) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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