Ovarense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ovarense EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ovarense
1-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ovarense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ovarense and Sao Joao Ver shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ovarense had 38% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 62%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Ovarense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Ovarense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - Cup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ovarense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ovarense 25%, draw 21%, Sao Joao Ver 54%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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