Shelbourne 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.43
X/2
5%
7.88
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
19%
6.39
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.10/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.01
-37% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.3 Crosses 19.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
469 Passes 171
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
03.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
20.09.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
28.06.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY Galway United
1.81 xG 0.49
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
546 Passes 186
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Galway United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 70% of the ball to Galway United's 30%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.81 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shelbourne's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shelbourne and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Shelbourne 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 45%, draw 25%, Galway United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5
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