Shelbourne 2-2 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.41
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.05
X/1
11%
4.68
X/2
8%
6.29
X/X
20%
3.68
2/1
13%
34.5
2/2
16%
5.33
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.90/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.13
-13% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +72%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
13.1 Crosses 18.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Galway United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 1.08
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
440 Passes 173
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
20.09.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
28.06.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
19.04.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
04.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-2
AWAY Galway United
1.96 xG 1.23
76% Ball Possession 24%
32 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
684 Passes 164
90% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Galway United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 76% of the ball to Galway United's 24%, shots finished 32-16, expected goals 1.96 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 0.67 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Shelbourne 2-2 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 39%, draw 31%, Galway United 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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