Cork City 2-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.17
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
14%
6.53
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.07
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
0.73/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.91
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 65%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
8.0 Crosses 15.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 2.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
205 Passes 372
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
10.11.2023 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.08.2023 Cork City Cork City 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
09.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.08.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İR1
18.04.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
2-1
AWAY Waterford FC
1.59 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
231 Passes 117
69% Pass Accuracy 52%
17 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City edged past Waterford FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 61% of the ball to Waterford FC's 39%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.59 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cork City and 1.00 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Waterford FC?

Cork City 2-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cork City 41%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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