Shamrock Rovers 2-3 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
18%
4.03
X/2
9%
9.81
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
7%
8.62
2/X
9%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.50/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.13
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.5 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bohemians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 196
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
03.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-3
AWAY Bohemians
0.50 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
384 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past Shamrock Rovers 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 58% of the ball to Bohemians's 42%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.00 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Shamrock Rovers 2-3 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 51%, draw 27%, Bohemians 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
21 Apr 2025
19:00 Cork City vs Waterford FC Analysis →
19:00 Shelbourne vs Galway United Analysis →
19:00 Drogheda United vs St Patricks Analysis →