Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.88
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
9%
12.05
X/X
14%
5.78
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
9.56
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.49/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 62%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
25.1 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
316 Passes 213
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
03.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
23.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY Bohemians
1.13 xG 0.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
533 Passes 238
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 66% of the ball to Bohemians's 34%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.13 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 25%, Bohemians 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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